“People are still too optimistic on gold,” said John LaForge, the Sarasota, Florida-based head of real assets strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. “We’re in a price purgatory for a lot of commodities, including gold. You’re going to have a lot of investors and strategists like myself reduce their price forecasts.”The net-long position, or bets on price gains, for
gold declined 15 per cent to 68,905 futures and options contracts in the week ended Dec 13, according to US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released three days later. The holdings are down 61 per cent over the five-week slump.On the Comex in New York,
gold futures added 0.3 per cent to $1,141 an ounce on Monday, after a 2.1 percent loss last week. Prices touched $1,124.30 on Dec 15, the lowest since February. Earlier this year, bullish sentiment for
gold was partly driven by political uncertainty as Britain voted to exit the European Union and amid a heated US election cycle. Just before Americans took to the polls on Nov 8,
gold was trading near a one-month high. Since then, prices have slumped about 11 per cent as there’s been relative calm in the election aftermath and as equities rallied on president-elect Donald Trump’s pro-business policies. Investors are positioning for more stability. In the month through Dec 15, they pulled $6.2 billion from ETFs tracking precious
metals — the largest withdrawal across asset classes, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
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The biggest casualty was SPDR
Gold Shares, the top fund backed by bullion. Holdings in global
gold ETFs dropped for 26 straight sessions through Friday, the longest slide since 2013. While assets in the
gold ETFs are still up for the year, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates that the “vast bulk” of the holdings are losing money at current prices, analysts said in a Nov. 21 note. If investors were to withdraw from even half of those money-losing holdings,
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